Climate Risk Overview

The climate crisis has begun — adaptation solutions reflecting the characteristics of Gyeonggi-do.

To minimize the real damage caused by the climate crisis, Gyeonggi-do requires its own adaptation strategy that reflects its unique topography, climate, urban structure, and demographic characteristics. The platform provides comprehensive information, including heatwave intensity evaluation through 3D simulations, flood risk analysis based on actual disaster data, AI-based landslide risk ratings, and profiles of vulnerable populations by age, health, and income. This information forms the foundation for effective adaptation strategies and supports scientific decision-making.

Climate Change Current Status in Gyeonggi-do

In 2024, for the first time in Korea Meteorological Administration records, the national annual average temperature exceeded 14°C. In 2023, Gyeonggi-do recorded the coldest winter in the past five years. According to the Meteorological Data Open Portal, Gyeonggi-do’s average temperature has also been rising annually.

  • Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) is an automated system that measures various weather elements such as temperature, pressure, wind, humidity, precipitation, and solar radiation with high precision. Installed at major observation sites nationwide, it serves as the standard for national weather observation. Data collected simultaneously is used for forecasts, climate statistics, and climate change analysis.
  • Major greenhouse gases such as CO₂ and CH₄ are measured in real time at monitoring stations in Gimpo and Pyeongtaek, enabling close observation of climate change trends.

Temperature

Rainfall

이산화탄소 농도

Future Climate Change Scenarios for Gyeonggi-do

Climate change scenarios (SSP-RCP) combine socioeconomic pathways—such as population, economy, and energy—with greenhouse gas concentration pathways to project future climate conditions. Based on these, Global Climate Models (GCMs) scientifically simulate changes in temperature, precipitation, and other factors for 2050 and 2100.
It provides future climate information by incorporating the impacts of anthropogenic factors, such as greenhouse gases and aerosols. This information can be used by Gyeonggi-do to anticipate and minimize the potential damages from climate change.

SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) Scenario

The SSP scenario, used in the IPCC 6th Assessment Report (2021), is a framework developed to explain the socioeconomic context of climate change based on changes in social, economic, educational, and technological factors. SSP is structured to comprehensively explore how climate change interacts with society, economy, and technological development. Five representative pathways (SSP1–SSP5) are presented. Combined with the RCP scenarios, SSP is used to analyze diverse climate change scenarios, contributing to a detailed understanding of the causes and effects of climate change.

SSP 시나리오 1 SSP 시나리오 2

1) RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) Scenario

The RCP scenario, used in the IPCC 5th Assessment Report (2013), is a set of representative greenhouse gas concentration pathways established to predict future climate change. RCP presents multiple pathways based on the radiative forcing level (W/m²) up to 2100, with RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 as representative examples. These scenarios are used to scientifically analyze climate responses to changes in greenhouse gas concentrations.

RCP 시나리오

SSP-RCP scenario analysis case

Analysis Case 01 Changes in Average Temperature and Thermal Index on the Korean Peninsula Based on the SSP-RCP Climate Change Scenario

This study analyzed changes in the average temperature and thermal index of the Korean Peninsula in the 21st century based on the SSP-RCP scenario. Under the high-carbon scenario, temperatures could increase by up to 6.2℃ and the thermal index by approximately 64% by 2100.

Analysis Case 02 Damage Cost Analysis of Climate Change on Coastal Fisheries

This study estimated the damage costs of climate change on coastal fisheries based on an SSP scenario. Under the high greenhouse gas emissions scenario, damages are expected to rise significantly due to decreased catch.

Analysis Case 03 Projection of Changes in Rice Climate Productivity Index on the Korean Peninsula Using High-Resolution (1km) SSP-RCP Scenario

This study analyzed changes in rice climate productivity (CYP) on the Korean Peninsula using the SSP-RCP scenario and 1 km high-resolution climate data. Under the severe warming SSP585 scenario, optimal rice flowering dates are delayed and productivity decreases, highlighting the need for greenhouse gas reduction and climate adaptation measures.

Analysis Case 04 Estimating Climate Change Damage Costs in Korea Using RCP-SSP Matrix

This study quantitatively estimated Koreas climate change damage costs for each RCP-SSP scenario combination using the PAGE09 integrated model. In the high-emission, low-adaptation scenario (RCP8.5–SSP3), 2100 damage costs could reach 5.22% of GDP, whereas in the low-emission, high-adaptation scenario (RCP2.6–SSP1), it could decrease to 0.88%.

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Scenario Analysis Conditions

SSP Scenario
기후요소
기본요소
극한기후지수(고온)
극한기후지수(저온)
극한기후지수(강수)
영향정보(농업)
영향정보(산림)
영향정보(보건)
Gyeonggi-do
SSP1-2.6 재생에너지 기술 발달로 화석연료 사용이 최소화되고 친환경적으로
지속가능한 경제성장을 이룰것으로 가정하는 경우

Ranking by Administrative Districts in Gyeonggi-do

Assumes environmentally sustainable economic growth with the development of renewable energy technology and minimal use of fossil fuels (low-carbon scenario)

Gyeonggi-do
2021 년
2021 2031 2041 2051 2061 2071 2081 2091 2100
2021

Climate Crisis Status in Gyeonggi-do

‘Heavy snow exceeding 40 cm’, ‘Emergency response Level 3 for the first time in 12 years’, ‘Yeoju, Gyeonggi-do 40°C’. Summer and winter in Gyeonggi-do are breaking records daily. Representative climate crisis phenomena due to extreme climate change include heavy rain, heat waves, and landslides.

Heat Wave

Recently, the number of heat-related illnesses and casualties caused by heat waves has been increasing. Between 2011 and 2022, the average annual increase rate of heat-related illnesses in Gyeonggi-do was 3.5%, while the average annual increase rate over the past three years (2020–2022) was 24.9%, indicating a sharp rise in heat-related illnesses.

Flood

Damage from extreme rainfall was particularly severe in 1998, 2011, and 2022. In 1998, total damage reached 500 billion won, and in 2011, approximately 24,000 people were affected, indicating substantial loss of life. In 2022, large-scale extreme rainfall caused additional damage, totaling approximately 200 billion won.

Landslide

Most landslides in Gyeonggi-do occur during heavy rain periods from June to October, showing clear regional concentration rather than annual variation. From 2018 to 2024, landslides occurred at 1,628 sites, with recent intensive occurrences in Icheon-si, Yangpyeong-gun, and Anseong-si.

Heat Wave

Heat Wave Occurrence in Gyeonggi-do

(2020-2024)

0

Days

Heat-related Illness Patients in Gyeonggi-do

(2021-2023)

0

Persons

Increase Rate of Heat-related Illnesses in Gyeonggi-do

(2021~2023)

0

%

Heat-related Illness Mortality Rate in Rural Areas Compared to Urban Areas

(National Average) 0.9%)

0

%

Highest Temperature in Gyeonggi-do(ASOS)

(2021-2025)

0

°C

Heat Wave

A heat wave occurs when the day's highest perceived temperature stays at 33°C or above for more than two days. From 2026, the Korea Meteorological Administration has overhauled its heat-wave alerts for the first time in 18 years, adding a top-tier 'Severe Heat-wave Warning' to the existing two-level 'Advisory·Warning' system for a three-level system. An advisory is issued at a perceived 33°C, a warning at 35°C or above for two or more days, and a severe warning when a perceived 38°C or above (or an air temperature of 39°C or above) is forecast even for a single day; a new 'Tropical-night Advisory' has also been added. Vulnerable groups such as the elderly, infants, low-income populations, and outdoor workers face a growing heat threat each year.

Gyeonggi-do is seeing heat waves increase rapidly due to climate change. In 2025, Gyeonggi-do recorded 978 heat-related illness cases, the most in the nation, and both heat-wave days and tropical nights continue to rise. Yet even within the same city, heat varies greatly from place to place. Even at the same midday, a shadeless asphalt road and a tree-lined walkway feel completely different. But because today's heat-wave alerts are issued with a single standard over broad areas, they cannot convey the heat differences down to the alleys of our own neighborhood.

To fill this gap, our platform used a 3D city model built with airborne LiDAR and a solar-radiation analysis model (SOLWEIG-GPU). By calculating the shade cast by buildings and trees as well as the heat rising from the ground, it analyzed the heat that the outdoor population actually receives at a 5m grid resolution (precise enough to distinguish even a single street tree). Rather than air temperature alone, this map shows the 'heat people actually feel (Mean Radiant Temperature)', reflecting humidity, wind, sunlight, and building shade.

This means alley-level heat-risk spaces exist in every area. Through this map, local governments can pinpoint exactly where shade canopies, cooling, and urban greening are truly needed, and citizens can check in advance where it is hot or cool in their neighborhood to avoid the heat safely.

폭염 이미지
Data 01 Mean Radiant Temperature Grade Map
OPEN & Share 바로가기 Go to Climate Map 데이터 작성방법
평균복사온도 등급 지도

The Mean Radiant Temperature 10-grade rating is a scientific analysis of pedestrians' thermal environment across all of Gyeonggi-do. By comprehensively reflecting temperature, humidity, wind speed, solar radiation, and building shade onto 3D building and terrain data built with airborne LiDAR, it analyzed the heat that the outdoor population actually receives (Mean Radiant Temperature) at a 5m grid resolution and rated it on a 10-level scale by city/county. This allows precise identification of heat-wave-vulnerable areas down to the alley level and the establishment of customized response policies.

평균복사온도 지도

Using the SOLWEIG-GPU solar-radiation model, this represents the thermal environment of the outdoor population across all of Gyeonggi-do at a 5-10m grid resolution, comprehensively considering temperature, humidity, wind speed, solar radiation, and building shade. It is the Mean Radiant Temperature (Tmrt) — the heat a person receives from all directions expressed as a temperature — rather than air temperature, and it varies with where one stands even at the same moment.

Data 03 Current Status of Heat-related Illnesses
온열질환자 현황 이미지

Using National Health Insurance data, we compiled heat-related illness cases by administrative district. Patients who experienced heatstroke, heat syncope, heat cramps, or dehydration-related heat exhaustion during summer were counted to create administrative district–level heat-related illness data.

무더위쉼터 이미지

Using latitude and longitude coordinates of heat shelters, we mapped the distribution and counted the number of shelters by administrative district.

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Card Graph View

Thermal Comfort Evaluation Results

Gyeonggi-do

경기도 열쾌적성 평가 결과 통계

선택할 수 있는 데이터

    Table View

    Thermal Comfort Evaluation Results

    Heat Wave 데이터

    Heat Wave 데이터
    선택 문구
    선택된 시군/읍면동 또는 데이터가 없습니다. 시군/읍면동 또는 데이터를 선택하여 주십시오.

    Flood

    Property Damage

    (2019-2023)

    Approx.

    0

    KRW 100 Million

    Number of Affected People

    (2019-2023)

    0

    Persons

    Number of Casualties

    (2019-2023)

    22

    Persons (13% of Nationwide)

    Number of Damaged Buildings

    (2019-2023)

    0

    buildings (20% of Nationwide)

    Flood

    Due to climate change, the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall and extreme rainfall events are increasing. The cumulative number of days with extreme rainfall (50 mm or more per hour) in Korea rose 86.2% over the most recent 25 years (1998-2022) compared to the previous 25 years (1973-1997). Gyeonggi-do is no exception. In 2023 alone, Gyeonggi-do recorded 126 heavy-rain-related special weather advisories, the highest number on record, and some areas saw hourly rainfall exceeding 100 mm. In fact, Gyeonggi-do has experienced large-scale flood damage roughly every two years in recent years (2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024).

    Flood damage depends not only on how intensely rain falls, but also on how densely assets exposed to inundation risk, such as buildings, population, farmland, and roads, are concentrated. Areas with large dependent populations who have difficulty evacuating on their own, such as infants and older adults, or with many aging buildings, can face relatively greater risk even from rainfall of the same magnitude. The fact that flood damage in Gyeonggi-do reached KRW 784 billion from 2007 to 2022, the highest level nationwide, can be seen as the combined result of a high degree of urbanization, dense population and assets, and recurring extreme rainfall.

    Maps showing expected inundation areas have long existed, but there was no information that allowed residents to compare, across regions, how and why their neighborhood is at risk. To address this, Gyeonggi-do calculated a flood risk index at both the 31 city/county level and the 100 m × 100 m grid level using nine years of data from 2016 to 2024. A key feature of this assessment is that it reflects not only inundation caused by river overflow (external flooding) but also inundation caused by inadequate stormwater drainage in urban areas (urban flooding). Government-produced flood risk maps (for national, local, and small streams) and urban flood maps were overlaid with detailed data on buildings, population, farmland, and roads so that only assets directly exposed to inundation risk were reflected in the assessment. In addition, flood maps matching the actual scale of rainfall in each region for that year were selectively applied, mitigating the risk of overstating danger relative to reality.

    The city/county-level index was calculated by combining four categories, how intensely rain fell (hazard), how many assets exposed to inundation risk are present (exposure), how many factors make damage more likely (vulnerability), and how well prepared the area is in terms of disaster prevention facilities and budgets (mitigation capacity), across 13 sub-indicators, and its accuracy was verified against actual heavy-rain and typhoon damage records. The 100 m grid-level index combines 11 sub-indicators, including inundation depth and extent and the number of buildings, population, roads, and underpasses within it, to precisely show where risk is concentrated. However, the flood risk index does not directly predict damage amounts for a specific area; rather, it is an indicator for comparing and diagnosing relative and potential risk levels across regions.

    The flood risk index statistical maps provided by the Gyeonggi Climate Platform are a reference resource that supports data-driven disaster prevention decision-making. Residents can use them to check flood risk around their living area and prepare in advance. Local governments can identify high-risk areas to help prioritize the allocation of disaster prevention budgets and personnel, support for vulnerable groups, and the development of region-specific mitigation measures, and can also use the data to complement flood control planning in connection with river improvement projects, urban development projects, and comprehensive natural disaster mitigation plans.

    극한호우 이미지
    홍수위험도 지수(시군)

    Flood damage from extreme rainfall and typhoons keeps recurring, but until now it has been hard to compare at a glance which of Gyeonggi-do's 31 cities and counties is relatively more at risk. To diagnose relative risk across cities and counties, Gyeonggi-do calculated a flood risk index, reflecting both inundation from river overflow (external flooding) and inundation from inadequate urban stormwater drainage (urban flooding), by city/county and by year (2016-2024). The closer the index is to 1, the higher the relative likelihood of flood damage in that city or county when extreme rainfall or a typhoon occurs.

    The index is a risk assessment result derived by combining four categories, how intensely rain fell (hazard); how many buildings, people, farmland, and roads are exposed to inundation risk (exposure); how many vulnerability-increasing factors are present, such as aging buildings, dependent population, and underpasses (vulnerability); and the level of preparedness in terms of disaster prevention facilities and budgets (mitigation capacity), across 13 sub-indicators.

    To improve the accuracy of the assessment, frequency-based flood maps matching the actual scale of rainfall in each region that year were selectively applied, and only assets actually exposed to inundation risk, such as buildings, population, farmland, and roads, were selected and reflected in the index calculation. In addition, optimal weights were applied to minimize the discrepancy between the index ranking and the heavy-rain and typhoon damage ranking in the Disaster Yearbook, verifying consistency with actual damage records.

    The city/county-level flood risk index and its sub-indicator indices can be used as reference data to compare relative flood risk levels across regions and support policy decisions related to flood control projects and disaster prevention budget allocation. However, this index does not directly predict damage amounts for a specific area; rather, it is an indicator for comparing and diagnosing relative and potential flood risk levels across cities and counties.

    홍수위험도 지수(100m)

    While the city/county-level index shows 'which city or county is more at risk', this map shows 'which area within that city or county is more at risk', at the 100 m × 100 m grid level. Flood risk was assessed by year (2016-2024) for areas at risk of inundation from river overflow (external flooding) and inadequate urban stormwater drainage (urban flooding), and the calculated index is provided in 10 grades. The higher the grade, the relatively higher the likelihood of flood damage in that area.

    The index is a risk assessment result derived by combining three categories, how deep and widespread inundation could be (hazard); how many buildings, people, farmland, and roads are exposed to inundation risk (exposure); and how many vulnerability-increasing factors are present, such as aging buildings, dependent population, and underpasses (vulnerability), across 11 sub-indicators.

    To improve the accuracy of the assessment, frequency-based flood maps matching the actual scale of rainfall in each region that year were selectively applied, and only assets directly exposed to inundation risk, such as buildings, population, farmland, and roads, were selected and reflected in the index calculation.

    Using the 100 m grid-level index, it is possible to precisely identify high-risk areas with a dense concentration of exposed assets, even within cities and counties already assessed as having high flood risk. Because risk is assessed at the 100 m × 100 m grid level, it can also be used for localized disaster response, review of river improvement sections, and spatially tailored policymaking at the project-district level, such as for urban development projects.

    However, this index does not directly predict damage amounts for a specific location; rather, it is an indicator for comparing and diagnosing relative and potential flood risk levels across areas.

    홍수 취약시설

    Information on flood-vulnerable facilities in Gyeonggi-do was constructed by integrating attribute data from building registration records and LiDAR-based high-resolution spatial data. Spatial information from LiDAR, including building location, height, and area, was combined with registration attributes—use, floors, structure, construction year—to identify facilities vulnerable to extreme rainfall, such as basements or old buildings. This data can support practical policy-making, including disaster response planning and prioritization of disaster prevention facilities.

    Data 04 Flood Risk Map and Urban Flood Map (Ministry of Climate, Energy and Environment)
    OPEN & Share 바로가기 Go to Climate Map
    홍수위험지도 및 도시침수지도(기후에너지환경부)

    The Flood Risk Map visualizes the extent and depth of inundation caused by embankment failure or by water overtopping the embankment under extreme flood conditions that exceed the design standard (design frequency) the river embankment was built to withstand. It covers national and local rivers and provides maps for various scenarios by flood frequency. The Urban Flood Map assumes that stormwater drainage facilities exceed capacity or malfunction, and shows the extent and depth (five levels) of inundation that could occur in urban areas. Both maps are produced and distributed by the Ministry of Climate, Energy and Environment, and are used in disaster management policy, including disaster risk area designation, disaster prevention facility planning, and early warning system development.

    침수흔적지도

    A flood trace map is spatial data recording the extent and depth of flood damage from typhoons or heavy rainfall based on field surveys and measurements. In accordance with the Natural Disaster Countermeasures Act, local government heads prepare it within six months of the damage, and it is provided by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety. The map includes information on flood extent, depth, and duration, and is used to identify frequently flooded areas, designate disaster risk zones, establish recovery plans, and determine priorities for installing disaster prevention facilities.

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    City/County Flood Risk Index Ranking

    Gyeonggi-do Flood Risk Sub-indicators (as of 2024)

    선택할 수 있는 데이터

      Flood Risk Grade and Area Proportion by Grid Unit per City/County

      Living population exposed to flood risk

      Frequency
      Gyeonggi-do

      Gyeonggi-do Living Population Exposed to Flood Risk

      선택할 수 있는 데이터

        Flood Vulnerable Facilities

        Landslide

        Number of landslide cases in Gyeonggi-do

        (2018~2024year)

        0

        Landslide damage area

        (2018~2024year)

        0

        (ha)

        Landslide damage cost

        (2018~2024year)

        0

        KRW thousand

        Landslide recovery cost

        (2018~2024year)

        0

        KRW thousand

        Number of designated landslide vulnerable areas

        (As of December 2024)

        0

        Landslide

        Landslides are one of the most unpredictable natural disasters, causing fatal damage to lives and property. In particular, the increase in extreme rainfall and wildfires due to climate change is further increasing the risk of landslides.

        Our platform collected and analyzed data on 1,316 landslides that actually occurred in Gyeonggi-do over the past 6 years (2018-2023) to accurately reflect local landslide characteristics. These extensive real-world cases were combined with AI technology to classify landslide risk areas.

        In the evaluation process, various environmental factors such as topography, soil characteristics, and vegetation distribution (slope, slope curvature, terrain wetness index (TWI), soil depth, forest type, density, etc.) were comprehensively considered. In particular, we aimed to reflect realistic terrain characteristics through aerial LiDAR surveying in 2024. Through this process, we precisely analyzed landslide risks across Gyeonggi-do and visualized the vulnerable areas.

        This information provides practical safety insights to citizens and plays a key role in developing disaster prevention measures for local governments. In particular, disaster management departments can use this information to efficiently conduct intensive monitoring and preventive maintenance in high-risk areas.

        산사태 이미지
        산사태위험등급 지도 이미지

        The Gyeonggi-do landslide risk level map is spatial data constructed at 10m resolution, developed using AI prediction models such as XGBoost, based on LiDAR topographic data and landslide history records. Using major factors such as slope gradient and soil depth, landslide risk is visualized in five levels, providing a scientific basis for disaster prevention and safety policy development.

        Data 02 Landslide Occurrence History
        OPEN & Share 바로가기 Go to Climate Map
        산사태 발생이력

        The Gyeonggi-do landslide occurrence history dataset is based on the landslide disaster register from 2018 to 2024, and includes information such as the time and location of each landslide in the province. This dataset serves as a key foundation for various administrative and scientific purposes, such as monitoring landslide risk areas and developing disaster prevention policies.

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        Landslide Risk Level Map

        Landslide Occurrence History

        Local Weather Information

        Provides real-time, accurate local weather information and weather alerts.

        기상청 500m 고해상도 기상정보를 활용하여 정밀한 기상정보를 제공합니다.

        기상청 500m 고해상도 기상정보를 활용하여 정밀한 기상정보를 제공합니다.

        체감
        -˚
        습도
        -%
        풍향
        -m/s

          기상특보

          대기오염 발령정보

          통합대기환경지수 - (-)

          Air Quality Information at Monitoring Stations

          내 위치에서 가까운 측정소가 조회되면 차트가 표시됩니다.

          This graph is based on real-time air quality information.
          More information is available from the Gyeonggi-do Air Quality Information Service.
          챗봇